Rest-of-Way Lineup Help thru NHL Stats Analysis

I’ve been so focused on the NFL season that I let the NHL season start without a proper preseason guide. I wanted to post fantasy hockey projections for the 2015-2016 NHL season, but it wasn’t in the cards.

It’s a blessing for the readers, because I’ve prepared much more useful presentation: a guide to DFS hockey one month into the season. With a full month of hockey matches under our belt, we have a lot more data to analyze than prognosticators had in the preseason.

The plan here is to use data from the already-started season to make predictions based on what we know. We can compare the preseason projections to the in-season statistics. In doing so, we’ll see daylight between the earlier rankings and the in-season stats rankings.

Comparing Preseason Predictions to 2015-2016 Stats

This early in the season, the data is going to be skewed, because it’s a small sampling. DFS hockey owners are likely to practice “recency bias”, a daily fantasy sports term for people putting too much weight on recent stats. While people are avoiding the forwards and wingmen who had disappointing months, you can clean up by riding those star players’ ride back to the top of the stats page.

So let’s look at October 2015 (and the first few days of November).

During that time, dozens of players have had breakout months. Meanwhile, some of the top-rated players have been disappointments. Injuries have happened (big injuries) which affect the rankings, but at the end of the day, the cream usually rises to the top. Players who have had a disappointing month are going to bounce back.

Hockey Position Abbreviations

Here’s a quick primer on the player positions in hockey. After that, let me give the briefest of basic of information on the rankings and stats I’ve listed. Both are a bit monstrous, but I’m trying to provide optimal information.

C = Center
LW = Left Wing
RW = Right Wing
D = Defenseman
G = Goalie (Goaltender)

Top 200 NHL Daily Fantasy Hockey Players – 2015-2016 Preseason Rankings

John Tavares of the New York Islanders

John Tavares of the Islanders was predicted to be the #3 fantasy hockey player behind Crosby and Ovechkin. He’s tied for 25th at 11 points.

Below is the list of the Top 200 fantasy players in NHL in the 2015-2016 season, according to the respected fantasy sports advice site, Fantasy Pros.

I’ve gotten rid of the scoring statistics and done some other cleanup, so I don’t make a duplicate page. I want to cite this cheat sheet for our purposes, and use something everyone can refer back to.

FantasyGuys had a list of 352 players, so I suggest you follow the link if you need additional suggestions for free agent pickups.

What I wanted was a basic list that was archetypal of the kind of predictions you would have seen this preseason. Nothing exotic makes the list, because I want to show the convention wisdom. With that in mind, take a look at the top players according to the preseason projections.

1. Alex Ovechkin – LW – Washington Capitals
2. Sidney Crosby – C – Pittsburgh Penguins
3. John Tavares – C – New York Islanders
4. Tyler Seguin – C – Dallas Stars
5. Jamie Benn – LW – Dallas Stars
6. Steven Stamkos – C – Tampa Bay Lightning
7. Claude Giroux – RW – Philadelphia Flyers
8. Evgeni Malkin – C – Pittsburgh Penguins
9. Vladimir Tarasenko – RW – St. Louis Blues
10. Phil Kessel – RW – Pittsburgh Penguins
11. Erik Karlsson – D – Ottawa Senators
12. Patrick Kane – RW – Chicago Blackhawks
13. Corey Perry – RW – Anaheim Ducks
14. Ryan Getzlaf – C – Anaheim Ducks
15. Jakub Voracek – RW – Philadelphia Flyers
16. Joe Pavelski – C – San Jose Sharks
17. Ryan Johansen – C – Columbus Blue Jackets
18. P.K. Subban – D – Montreal Canadiens
19. Carey Price – G – Montreal Canadiens
20. Rick Nash – LW – New York Rangers
21. Nicklas Backstrom – C – Washington Capitals
22. Max Pacioretty – LW – Montreal Canadiens
23. Tyler Johnson – C – Tampa Bay Lightning
24. Jonathan Toews – C – Chicago Blackhawks
25. Zach Parise – LW – Minnesota Wild
26. Anze Kopitsar – C – Los Angeles Kings
27. Logan Couture – C – San Jose Sharks
28. Henrik Lundqvist – G – New York Rangers
29. Dustin Byfuglien – D – Winnipeg Jets
30. Henrik Zetterberg – LW – Detroit Red Wings
31. Braden Holtby – G – Washington Capitals
32. Connor McDavid – C – Edmonton Oilers
33. Taylor Hall – LW – Edmonton Oilers
34. Pekka Rinne – G – Nashville Predators
35. Kevin Shattenkirk – D – St. Louis Blues
36. Nikita Kucherov – RW – Tampa Bay Lightning
37. Ben Bishop – G – Tampa Bay Lightning
38. Jonathan Quick – G – Los Angeles Kings
39. Alexander Steen – LW – St. Louis Blues
40. Gabriel Landeskog – LW – Colorado Avalanche
41. Marc-Andre Fleury – G – Pittsburgh Penguins
42. Shea Weber – D – Nashville Predators
43. Blake Wheeler – RW – Winnipeg Jets
44. Nathan MacKinnon – C – Colorado Avalanche
45. Kris Letang – D – Pittsburgh Penguins
46. Daniel Sedin – LW – Vancouver Canucks
47. Brent Burns – RW – San Jose Sharks
48. Mark Giordano – D – Calgary Flames
49. Devan Dubnyk – G – Minnesota Wild
50. Andrew Ladd – LW – Winnipeg Jets
51. Victor Hedman – D – Tampa Bay Lightning
52. Tuukka Rask – G – Boston Bruins
53. Matt Duchene – C – Colorado Avalanche
54. David Backes – C – St. Louis Blues
55. Duncan Keith – D – Chicago Blackhawks
56. Sergei Bobrovsky – G – Columbus Blue Jackets
57. Filip Forsberg – C – Nashville Predators
58. Wayne Simmonds – RW – Philadelphia Flyers
59. Jiri Hudler – C – Calgary Flames
60. Marian Hossa – RW – Chicago Blackhawks
61. Corey Crawford – G – Chicago Blackhawks
62. Nick Foligno – LW – Columbus Blue Jackets
63. Jeff Carter – C – Los Angeles Kings
64. Henrik Sedin – C – Vancouver Canucks
65. T.J. Oshie – RW – Washington Capitals
66. Ondrej Palat – LW – Tampa Bay Lightning
67. Johnny Gaudreau – LW – Calgary Flames
68. Roman Josi – D – Nashville Predators
69. Drew Doughty – D – Los Angeles Kings
70. Pavel Datsyuk – C – Detroit Red Wings
71. Cory Schneider – G – New Jersey Devils
72. Patrick Sharp – LW – Dallas Stars
73. Kyle Okposo – RW – New York Islanders
74. Eric Staal – C – Carolina Hurricanes
75. Jason Spezza – C – Dallas Stars
76. Joe Thornton – C – San Jose Sharks
77. Patrice Bergeron – C – Boston Bruins
78. Jordan Eberle – RW – Edmonton Oilers
79. Jaden Schwartz – LW – St. Louis Blues
80. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins – C – Edmonton Oilers
81. Keith Yandle – D – New York Rangers
82. Kyle Turris – C – Ottawa Senators
83. Roberto Luongo – G – Florida Panthers
84. Scott Hartnell – LW – Columbus Blue Jackets
85. Sean Monahan – C – Calgary Flames
86. Semyon Varlamov – G – Colorado Avalanche
87. Jaroslav Halak – G – New York Islanders
88. Oliver Ekman-Larsson – D – Arizona Coyotes
89. John Carlson – D – Washington Capitals
90. Patric Hornqvist – RW – Pittsburgh Penguins
91. Gustav Nyquist – RW – Detroit Red Wings
92. Alex Pietrangelo – D – St. Louis Blues
93. Evander Kane – LW – Buffalo Sabres
94. Chris Kreider – LW – New York Rangers
95. Derick Brassard – C – New York Rangers
96. Brandon Saad – LW – Columbus Blue Jackets
97. Mark Stone – RW – Ottawa Senators
98. Derek Stepan – C – New York Rangers
99. Radim Vrbata – RW – Vancouver Canucks
100. Patrick Marleau – LW – San Jose Sharks
101. Frederik Andersen – G – Anaheim Ducks
102. James Neal – LW – Nashville Predators
103. Tomas Tatar – LW – Detroit Red Wings
104. Milan Lucic – LW – Los Angeles Kings
105. Steve Mason – G – Philadelphia Flyers
106. Bryan Little – C – Winnipeg Jets
107. Ryan O’Reilly – C – Buffalo Sabres
108. Jack Eichel – C – Buffalo Sabres
109. James Van Riemsdyk – LW – Toronto Maple Leafs
110. Ryan Strome – C – New York Islanders
111. Andrei Markov – D – Montreal Canadiens
112. Ryan McDonagh – D – New York Rangers
113. Tyson Barrie – D – Colorado Avalanche
114. Marian Gaborik – RW – Los Angeles Kings
115. Tyler Toffoli – C – Los Angeles Kings
116. Jake Allen – G – St. Louis Blues
117. Bobby Ryan – RW – Ottawa Senators
118. Mike Ribeiro – C – Nashville Predators
119. John Klingberg – D – Dallas Stars
120. Mark Streit – D – Philadelphia Flyers
121. Sami Vatanen – D – Anaheim Ducks
122. Ryan Suter – D – Minnesota Wild
123. Alex Galchenyuk – C – Montreal Canadiens
124. Nazem Kadri – C – Toronto Maple Leafs
125. Ryan Miller – G – Vancouver Canucks
126. Thomas Vanek – LW – Minnesota Wild
127. Jarome Iginla – RW – Colorado Avalanche
128. Mike Green – D – Detroit Red Wings
129. Mats ZucCarello – LW – New York Rangers
130. Ryan Kesler – C – Anaheim Ducks
131. Anders Lee – C – New York Islanders
132. Paul Stastny – C – St. Louis Blues
133. David Perron – LW – Pittsburgh Penguins
134. Justin Faulk – D – Carolina Hurricanes
135. Tomas Plekanec – C – Montreal Canadiens
136. Dennis Wideman – D – Calgary Flames
137. Jason Pominville – RW – Minnesota Wild
138. David Krejci – C – Boston Bruins
139. Mark Scheifele – C – Winnipeg Jets
140. David Desharnais – C – Montreal Canadiens
141. Tyler Ennis – LW – Buffalo Sabres
142. Mikkel Boedker – RW – Arizona Coyotes
143. Niklas Kronwall – D – Detroit Red Wings
144. Jonas Hiller – G – Calgary Flames
145. Aaron Ekblad – D – Florida Panthers
146. Dougie Hamilton – D – Calgary Flames
147. Jonathan Huberdeau – C – Florida Panthers
148. Brian Elliott – G – St. Louis Blues
149. Mika Zibanejad – C – Ottawa Senators
150. Torey Krug – D – Boston Bruins
151. Chris Kunitz – LW – Pittsburgh Penguins
152. Cam Talbot – G – Edmonton Oilers
153. Craig Anderson – G – Ottawa Senators
154. Martin Jones – G – San Jose Sharks
155. Craig Smith – C – Nashville Predators
156. Johnny Boychuk – D – New York Islanders
157. Brayden Schenn – C – Philadelphia Flyers
158. Brendan Gallagher – RW – Montreal Canadiens
159. Jimmy Howard – G – Detroit Red Wings
160. Justin Abdelkader – LW – Detroit Red Wings
161. Nail Yakupov – RW – Edmonton Oilers
162. Erik Johnson – D – Colorado Avalanche
163. Matt Moulson – LW – Buffalo Sabres
164. Ryan Callahan – RW – Tampa Bay Lightning
165. Antti Niemi – G – Dallas Stars
166. Alexander Edler – D – Vancouver Canucks
167. Brad Marchand – LW – Boston Bruins
168. Elias Lindholm – C – Carolina Hurricanes
169. Cam Atkinson – RW – Colmbus Blue Jackets
170. Jussi Jokinen – LW – Florida Panthers
171. David Pastrnak – RW – Boston Bruins
172. Mathieu Perreault – C – Winnipeg Jets
173. Ondrej Pavelec – G – Winnipeg Jets
174. Brandon Dubinsky – C – Columbus Blue Jackets
175. Evgeny Kuznetsov – C – Washington Capitals
176. Dion Phaneuf – D – Toronto Maple Leafs
177. Carl Soderberg – C – Colorado Avalanche
178. Valtteri Filppula – C – Tampa Bay Lightning
179. Sam Gagner – C – Philadelphia Flyers
180. Josh Bailey – C – New York Islanders
181. Kari Lehtonen – G – Dallas Stars
182. Mikko Koivu – C – Minnesota Wild
183. Petr Mrazek – G – Detroit Red Wings
184. Loui Eriksson – LW – Boston Bruins
185. T.J. Brodie – D – Calgary Flames
186. Nick Bjugstad – C – Florida Panthers
187. Jack Johnson – D – Columbus Blue Jackets
188. Clarke MaCarthur – LW – Ottawa Senators
189. Colin Wilson – C – Nashville Predators
190. Mike Hoffman – C – Ottawa Senators
191. Brent Seabrook – D – Chicago Blackhawks
192. Mikael Granlund – C – Minnesota Wild
193. Jeff Skinner – C – Carolina Hurricanes
194. Drew Stafford – RW – Winnipeg Jets
195. Jake Muzzin – D – Los Angeles Kings
196. Hampus Lindholm – D – Anaheim Ducks
197. Kevin Hayes – RW – New York Rangers
198. Nick Leddy – D – New York Islanders
199. Michael Frolik – RW – Calgary Flames
200. Andrew Hammond – G – Ottawa Senators

Latest Daily Fantasy Hockey Stats

Blake Wheeler

Blake Wheeler of the Winnipeg Jets Is the 4th-Leading Scorer after 1 Month of NHL Play.

Below is a list of the top scorers in the NHL through one month of the season. This shows exactly how inaccurate the preseason fantasy NHL rankings are. That is true more so for the first month of the season than any other month, because a lot happens over the summer.

Young players mature or fall into the wrong lifestyle. Older players age suddenly, sustain nagging injuries, or lose the fire to train properly. Some players get married or have children, which makes some more responsible and changes their priorities, for better or worse. More than any league besides MLB baseball, moves to new teams occur, which often has the biggest effect.

The point being, none of the preseason projections really mean much, once the rubber hits the ice. Over the course of a season, the October 2015 cheat sheets start to look more like the actual results on the NHL stats page. That’s the dynamic I want to explore today: how to predict star players’ movement from variance to reliability. A few things are predictable over time. When you play those hunches, you’ll be able to make money at daily fantasy hockey.

Abbreviation Key

GP – Games Played
G – Goals (“G” with a number)
A – Assists
P – Points (Goals + Assists)

List of Top 110 NHL Scorers – Through November 4

1. Jamie Benn – DAL – L – GP: 13 – G: 10 – A: 10 – Pts: 20
2. Tyler Seguin – DAL – C – GP: 13 – G: 8 – A: 12 – Pts: 20
3. Patrick Kane – CHI – R – GP: 12 – G: 7 – A: 9 – Pts: 16
4. Blake Wheeler – WPG – R – GP: 13 – G: 6 – A: 10 – Pts: 16
5. Taylor Hall – EDM – L – GP: 13 – G: 6 – A: 10 – Pts: 16
6. David Krejci – BOS – C – GP: 11 – G: 7 – A: 8 – Pts: 15
7. Henrik Zetterberg – DET – L – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 11 – Pts: 14
8. Kyle Turris – OTT – C – GP: 12 – G: 8 – A: 5 – Pts: 13
9. Alex Ovechkin – WSH – L – GP: 10 – G: 6 – A: 7 – Pts: 13
10. Bryan Little – WPG – C – GP: 13 – G: 6 – A: 7 – Pts: 13
11. Evgeny Kuznetsov – WSH – C – GP: 11 – G: 5 – A: 8 – Pts: 13
12. Nathan MacKinnon – COL – C – GP: 12 – G: 5 – A: 8 – Pts: 13
13. Ryan O’Reilly – BUF – C – GP: 12 – G: 4 – A: 9 – Pts: 13
14. Mark Stone – OTT – R – GP: 11 – G: 3 – A: 10 – Pts: 13
15. John Klingberg – DAL – D – GP: 13 – G: 2 – A: 11 – Pts: 13
16. Johnny Gaudreau – CGY – L – GP: 13 – G: 2 – A: 11 – Pts: 13
17. Andrei Markov – MTL – D – GP: 14 – G: 1 – A: 12 – Pts: 13
18. Joe Pavelski – SJS – C – GP: 12 – G: 8 – A: 4 – Pts: 12
19. Jason Spezza – DAL – C – GP: 13 – G: 5 – A: 7 – Pts: 12
20. Tomas Plekanec – MTL – C – GP: 14 – G: 5 – A: 7 – Pts: 12
21. Jeff Carter – LAK – C – GP: 12 – G: 5 – A: 7 – Pts: 12
22. Connor McDavid – EDM – C – GP: 13 – G: 5 – A: 7 – Pts: 12
23. David Desharnais – MTL – C – GP: 14 – G: 3 – A: 9 – Pts: 12
24. P.K. Subban – MTL – D – GP: 14 – G: 1 – A: 11 – Pts: 12
25. Tyler Toffoli – LAK – C – GP: 12 – G: 9 – A: 2 – Pts: 11
26. Joel Ward – SJS – R – GP: 12 – G: 7 – A: 4 – Pts: 11
27. Max Pacioretty – MTL – L – GP: 14 – G: 7 – A: 4 – Pts: 11
28. Jarome Iginla – COL – R – GP: 12 – G: 6 – A: 5 – Pts: 11
29. John Tavares – NYI – C – GP: 10 – G: 5 – A: 6 – Pts: 11
30. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins – EDM – C – GP: 13 – G: 5 – A: 6 – Pts: 11
31. Gabriel Landeskog – COL – L – GP: 12 – G: 5 – A: 6 – Pts: 11
32. Max Domi – ARI – L – GP: 11 – G: 5 – A: 6 – Pts: 11
33. Jiri Hudler – CGY – C – GP: 13 – G: 4 – A: 7 – Pts: 11
34. Loui Eriksson – BOS – R – GP: 11 – G: 4 – A: 7 – Pts: 11
35. Patrice Bergeron – BOS – C – GP: 11 – G: 4 – A: 7 – Pts: 11
36. Mikko Koivu – MIN – C – GP: 11 – G: 3 – A: 8 – Pts: 11
37. Mike Cammalleri – NJD – L – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 8 – Pts: 11
38. Artemi Panarin – CHI – L – GP: 12 – G: 2 – A: 9 – Pts: 11
39. Erik Karlsson – OTT – D – GP: 12 – G: 0 – A: 11 – Pts: 11
40. James Neal – NSH – R – GP: 11 – G: 7 – A: 3 – Pts: 10
41. Dale Weise – MTL – R – GP: 14 – G: 7 – A: 3 – Pts: 10
42. Mats Zuccarello – NYR – R – GP: 12 – G: 7 – A: 3 – Pts: 10
43. Jaromir Jagr – FLA – R – GP: 9 – G: 6 – A: 4 – Pts: 10
44. Vladimir Tarasenko – STL – R – GP: 11 – G: 6 – A: 4 – Pts: 10
45. Brendan Gallagher – MTL – R – GP: 14 – G: 5 – A: 5 – Pts: 10
46. Tomas Fleischmann – MTL – L – GP: 14 – G: 4 – A: 6 – Pts: 10
47. Thomas Vanek – MIN – L – GP: 11 – G: 4 – A: 6 – Pts: 10
48. Evgeni Malkin – PIT – C – GP: 11 – G: 4 – A: 6 – Pts: 10
49. Derick Brassard – NYR – C – GP: 12 – G: 4 – A: 6 – Pts: 10
50. Jimmy Hayes – BOS – R – GP: 11 – G: 3 – A: 7 – Pts: 10
51. Ryan Suter – MIN – D – GP: 11 – G: 2 – A: 8 – Pts: 10
52. Kris Versteeg – CAR – R – GP: 12 – G: 2 – A: 8 – Pts: 10
53. John Carlson – WSH – D – GP: 11 – G: 2 – A: 8 – Pts: 10
54. Nail Yakupov – EDM – R – GP: 13 – G: 2 – A: 8 – Pts: 10
55. Mathieu Perreault – WPG – C – GP: 13 – G: 1 – A: 9 – Pts: 10
56. Martin Hanzal – ARI – C – GP: 9 – G: 0 – A: 10 – Pts: 10
57. Victor Hedman – TBL – D – GP: 13 – G: 0 – A: 10 – Pts: 10
58. Torey Krug – BOS – D – GP: 11 – G: 0 – A: 10 – Pts: 10
59. Zach Parise – MIN – L – GP: 11 – G: 7 – A: 2 – Pts: 9
60. Steven Stamkos – TBL – C – GP: 14 – G: 6 – A: 3 – Pts: 9
61. Adam Henrique – NJD – L – GP: 12 – G: 6 – A: 3 – Pts: 9
62. Oscar Lindberg – NYR – C – GP: 12 – G: 6 – A: 3 – Pts: 9
63. Scott Hartnell – CBJ – L – GP: 13 – G: 5 – A: 4 – Pts: 9
64. Frans Nielsen – NYI – C – GP: 13 – G: 5 – A: 4 – Pts: 9
65. Alexander Steen – STL – L – GP: 12 – G: 5 – A: 4 – Pts: 9
66. Torrey Mitchell – MTL – C – GP: 14 – G: 5 – A: 4 – Pts: 9
67. Brad Marchand – BOS – L – GP: 9 – G: 5 – A: 4 – Pts: 9
68. Jonathan Toews – CHI – C – GP: 12 – G: 5 – A: 4 – Pts: 9
69. Gustav Nyquist – DET – R – GP: 12 – G: 5 – A: 4 – Pts: 9
70. Mark Scheifele – WPG – C – GP: 13 – G: 5 – A: 4 – Pts: 9
71. Patrick Sharp – DAL – L – GP: 13 – G: 4 – A: 5 – Pts: 9
72. Bobby Ryan – OTT – R – GP: 12 – G: 4 – A: 5 – Pts: 9
73. Mike Hoffman – OTT – L – GP: 8 – G: 4 – A: 5 – Pts: 9
74. Vincent Trocheck – FLA – C – GP: 11 – G: 4 – A: 5 – Pts: 9
75. Nikolaj Ehlers – WPG – R – GP: 13 – G: 4 – A: 5 – Pts: 9
76. Dylan Larkin – DET – C – GP: 12 – G: 4 – A: 5 – Pts: 9
77. Daniel Sedin – VAN – L – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 6 – Pts: 9
78. Brent Seabrook – CHI – D – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 6 – Pts: 9
79. Kyle Okposo – NYI – R – GP: 13 – G: 3 – A: 6 – Pts: 9
80. Michael Frolik – CGY – R – GP: 13 – G: 3 – A: 6 – Pts: 9
81. Jason Zucker – MIN – L – GP: 11 – G: 3 – A: 6 – Pts: 9
82. Justin Williams – WSH – R – GP: 11 – G: 2 – A: 7 – Pts: 9
83. Roman Josi – NSH – D – GP: 11 – G: 2 – A: 7 – Pts: 9
84. Alex Galchenyuk – MTL – C – GP: 14 – G: 2 – A: 7 – Pts: 9
85. Francois Beauchemin – COL – D – GP: 12 – G: 1 – A: 8 – Pts: 9
86. Boone Jenner – CBJ – C – GP: 13 – G: 7 – A: 1 – Pts: 8
87. Travis Zajac – NJD – C – GP: 11 – G: 5 – A: 3 – Pts: 8
88. T.J. Oshie – WSH – R – GP: 11 – G: 4 – A: 4 – Pts: 8
89. Nicklas Backstrom – WSH – C – GP: 8 – G: 4 – A: 4 – Pts: 8
90. Mikkel Boedker – ARI – L – GP: 11 – G: 4 – A: 4 – Pts: 8
91. Victor Rask – CAR – C – GP: 12 – G: 4 – A: 4 – Pts: 8
92. Patrick Marleau – SJS – L – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 5 – Pts: 8
93. Alexandre Burrows – VAN – R – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 5 – Pts: 8
94. Brent Burns – SJS – D – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 5 – Pts: 8
95. Andrew Ladd – WPG – L – GP: 13 – G: 3 – A: 5 – Pts: 8
96. Brandon Dubinsky – CBJ – C – GP: 13 – G: 3 – A: 5 – Pts: 8
97. Troy Brouwer – STL – R – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 5 – Pts: 8
98. Kyle Palmieri – NJD – R – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 5 – Pts: 8
99. Tomas Tatar – DET – L – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 5 – Pts: 8
100. Kevin Hayes – NYR – R – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 5 – Pts: 8
101. Morgan Rielly – TOR – D – GP: 12 – G: 3 – A: 5 – Pts: 8
102. Joe Thornton – SJS – C – GP: 12 – G: 2 – A: 6 – Pts: 8
103. Lee Stempniak – NJD – R – GP: 12 – G: 2 – A: 6 – Pts: 8
104. Jori Lehtera – STL – C – GP: 12 – G: 2 – A: 6 – Pts: 8
105. Mika Zibanejad – OTT – C – GP: 12 – G: 2 – A: 6 – Pts: 8
106. Filip Forsberg – NSH – L – GP: 11 – G: 2 – A: 6 – Pts: 8
107. Sean Monahan – CGY – C – GP: 13 – G: 2 – A: 6 – Pts: 8
108. Ryan Johansen – CBJ – C – GP: 11 – G: 1 – A: 7 – Pts: 8
109. Dion Phaneuf – TOR – D – GP: 12 – G: 0 – A: 8 – Pts: 8
110. Drew Doughty – LAK – D – GP: 12 – G: 0 – A: 8 – Pts: 8

Top 39 Skaters – Preseason Rankings Compared to 1st Month Results

Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin - Daily Fantasy Hockey Gods

Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin Have Been a Lethal Combination for the Dallas Stars in 2015.

In the following list, “PR” stands for preseason rankings. This was the projection Fantasy Pros had for each player, based on the Top 200 list I discussed earlier.

I promised the Top 30, but I expanded the list to 39, because we had a 15-player list tied for 25th place (with 11 points).

That list stretched to #39, so it would have been arbitrary to cut the list off at #30.

1. Jamie Benn – PR: 5
2. Tyler Seguin – PR: 4
3. Patrick Kane – PR: 12
4. Blake Wheeler – PR: 43
5. Taylor Hall – PR: 33
6. David Krejci – PR: 138
7. Henrik Zetterberg – PR: 30
8. Kyle Turris – PR: 82
9. Alex Ovechkin – PR: 1
10. Bryan Little – PR: 106
11. Evgeny Kuznetsov – PR: 175
12. Nathan MacKinnon – PR: 44
13. Ryan O’Reilly – PR: 107
14. Mark Stone – PR: 97
15. John Klingberg – PR: 119
16. Johnny Gaudreau – PR: 67
17. Andrei Markov – PR: 111
18. Joe Pavelski – PR: 16
19. Jason Spezza – PR: 75
20. Tomas Plekanec – PR: 135
21. Jeff Carter – PR: 63
22. Connor McDavid – PR: 32
23. David Desharnais – PR: 140
24. P.K. Subban – PR: 18
25. Tyler Toffoli – PR: 115
26. Joel Ward – PR: (329)
27. Max Pacioretty – PR: 22
28. Jarome Iginla – PR: 127
29. John Tavares – PR: 3
30. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins – PR: 80
31. Gabriel Landeskog – PR: 40
32. Max Domi – PR: (231)
33. Jiri Hudler – PR: 59
34. Loui Eriksson – PR: 184
35. Patrice Bergeron – PR: 77
36. Mikko Koivu – PR: 182
37. Mike Cammalleri – PR: (211)
38. Artemi Panarin – PR: (Not Listed)
39. Erik Karlsson – PR: 11

DFS Hockey Player Picks after One Month of the NHL Season

Players like Evgeny Kuznetsov, Ryan O’Reilly, Mark Stone, John Klingberg, Jerome Iginla, Andrei Markvo, Toma Plekanaec, David Desharnais, and Tyler Toffoli have paid off for their fantasy hockey owners to this point.

Even more so, players like Joel Ward, Max Domi, Loui Eriksson, Mikko Koivu, Mike Cammelleri, and Artemi Panarin have been high value picks or waiver wire pickups. Many were not even drafted onto fantasy hockey squads to start the season. Some are likely to still be on the waiver wire.

How to Build a Successful DFS Hockey Lineup

If these players continue to be undervalued, draft them to your team until they cool off. In yearly fantasy hockey leagues, add them in free agency, in those rare leagues they’re still available.

Biggest DFH NHL Disappointments – Through October 2015

If you want to target players who’ve disappointed in the first half of the season, but who you expect to return back to their expected value, I suggest playing the following list of 9 players. Hold off on Ryan Getzlaf until he’s fully recovered from the appendix surgery, of course.

  • Sidney Crosby – Preseason: #2 – Nov 2015: Way down the list with six points. 2015 Stats: 12 games, 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 pts.
  • Steven Stamkos – Preseason: #6 – Nov 2015: Tied for 59th with 9 points.
  • Claude Giroux – Preseason: #7 – Nov 2015: Way down the list with six points. 2015 Stats: 12 games, 4 goals, 2 assists, 6 pts.
  • Vladimir Tarasenko – Preseason: #9 – Nov 2015: Tied for 40th with 10 points.
  • Phil Kessel – Preseason: #10 – Nov 2015: Tied for 86th with 8 points.
  • Corey Perry – Preseason: #13 – Nov 2015: Tied for 136th with 4 points. 2015 Stats: 12 games, 1 goal, 3 assists, 4 pts.
  • Ryan Getzlaf – Preseason: #14 – Nov 2015: Incredibly far down the list. 2015 Stats: 8 games, 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 lone point. Reason: Appendectomy.
  • Jakub Voracek – Preseason: #15 – Nov 2015: Tied for 136th with 4 points. 2015 Stats: 12 games, 0 goals, 4 assists, 4 points.
  • Ryan Johansen – Preseason: #17 – Nov 2015: Tied for 86th with 8 points.

Sidney Crosby has attained such a status that he’ll be overpriced virtually anytime in a daily fantasy hockey contest. Telling people they should start Sidney Crosby doesn’t take a rocket scientist. Understanding the concept of “fading” and why you shouldn’t draft Crosby to your DFS hockey team is a little more complicated. Basically, if everyone else is doing it, basic Game Theory says you don’t want to draft the same player, at least in a bigger contest. In smaller contests, it might be exactly what you want to do, but his Crosby’s salary cap price mitigates his value.

Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice Moving Ahead in 2015-2016

As for the other 7 players on the list (besides Crosby and Getzlaf), I’d suggest you should chart to see whether their price has come down in the first month of the season. If it has, start drafting them to you daily NHL fantasy team. Unless you can think of a compelling reason they have disappointed in the first month of the NHL season, start highlighting them in your lineup.

I’ll be posting a couple of follow-up articles soon. The first is going to be a list of goalie rankings very similar to this article. I want the two subject separated, because it can get muddled if you mix them all together.

The second article is a more daily fantasy hockey strategy guide, complete with tips for optimal lineups, a discussion of lineup optimizer/generators and lineup builder type tools, and links to be best resources you might not know about. This will be beyond Bleacher Report, though that’s a fine resource for what it is.

Keep reading to get continuing coverage of the 2015-2016 NHL hockey season from a DFS owner’s perspective. Or wait until the Masters, when I make my yearly projections for the 2016 daily fantasy golf season (that’s a joke).